{"id":2070,"date":"2012-11-08T19:59:38","date_gmt":"2012-11-08T19:59:38","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.2100.org\/tv\/?p=2070"},"modified":"2015-10-01T04:50:06","modified_gmt":"2015-10-01T04:50:06","slug":"quest-ce-que-la-prospective","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/2100.org\/tv\/2070\/quest-ce-que-la-prospective\/","title":{"rendered":"Qu&#8217;est-ce que la prospective ?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>par Thierry Gaudin, 19 septembre 2012<br \/>\nUniversit\u00e9 Blaise Pascal de Clermont-Ferrand<br \/>\n<!--more--><br \/>\nS\u00e9rie Fa\u00e7ons de penser<\/p>\n<div id=\"wpfp_df96cc6b07ec762a7016516268bc1002\" data-item=\"{&quot;sources&quot;:[{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https:\\\/\\\/2100.org\\\/tv\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2012\\\/gaudin0912.flv&quot;,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;video\\\/mp4&quot;}],&quot;fv_title&quot;:&quot;Thierry Gaudin, Clermont-Ferrand&quot;,&quot;splash&quot;:&quot;https:\\\/\\\/2100.org\\\/tv\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2012\\\/gaudin0912.jpg&quot;}\" class=\"flowplayer no-brand is-splash is-paused skin-slim no-svg fp-slim fp-edgy has-caption\" data-fv-embed=\"https:\/\/2100.org\/tv\/2070\/quest-ce-que-la-prospective\/fvp\/\" style=\"position:relative; max-width: 512px; max-height: 384px; \" data-ratio=\"0.75\">\n\t<div class=\"fp-ratio\" style=\"padding-top: 75%\"><\/div>\n\t<img decoding=\"async\" class=\"fp-splash\" alt=\"Thierry Gaudin, Clermont-Ferrand\" src=\"https:\/\/2100.org\/tv\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/gaudin0912.jpg\" style=\"position:absolute;top:0;width:100%\" \/>\n\t<div class=\"fp-ui\"><noscript>Please enable JavaScript<\/noscript><div class=\"fp-play fp-visible\"><svg class=\"fp-play-sharp-fill\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" viewBox=\"0 0 100 100\"><defs><style>.fp-color-play{opacity:0.65;}.controlbutton{fill:#fff;}<\/style><\/defs><title>play-sharp-fill<\/title><path class=\"fp-color-play\" d=\"M49.9217-.078a50,50,0,1,0,50,50A50.0564,50.0564,0,0,0,49.9217-.078Z\"\/><polygon class=\"controlbutton\" points=\"73.601 50 37.968 70.573 37.968 29.427 73.601 50\" filter=\"url(#f1)\"\/><\/svg><\/div><div class=\"fp-preload\"><b><\/b><b><\/b><b><\/b><b><\/b><\/div><\/div>\n<div class='fvp-share-bar'><ul class=\"fvp-sharing\">\r\n    <li><a class=\"sharing-facebook\" href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2F2100.org%2Ftv%2F2070%2Fquest-ce-que-la-prospective%2F\" target=\"_blank\"><\/a><\/li>\r\n    <li><a class=\"sharing-twitter\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=TV+2100+&url=https%3A%2F%2F2100.org%2Ftv%2F2070%2Fquest-ce-que-la-prospective%2F\" target=\"_blank\"><\/a><\/li>\r\n    <li><a class=\"sharing-email\" href=\"mailto:?body=Check%20out%20the%20amazing%20video%20here%3A%20https%3A%2F%2F2100.org%2Ftv%2F2070%2Fquest-ce-que-la-prospective%2F\" target=\"_blank\"><\/a><\/li><\/ul><div><a class=\"sharing-link\" href=\"https:\/\/2100.org\/tv\/2070\/quest-ce-que-la-prospective\/\" target=\"_blank\">Link<\/a><\/div><div><label><a class=\"embed-code-toggle\" href=\"#\"><strong>Embed<\/strong><\/a><\/label><\/div><div class=\"embed-code\"><label>Copy and paste this HTML code into your webpage to embed.<\/label><textarea><\/textarea><\/div><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p class='fp-caption'>Thierry Gaudin, Clermont-Ferrand<\/p>\n<p>Comment ne pas \u00eatre d\u00e9sorient\u00e9s face \u00e0 la multiplicit\u00e9 des choix auxquels nous sommes confront\u00e9s quotidiennement ? Tout se passe comme si notre cerveau, assailli par des flots d&#8217;informations, ne parvenait plus \u00e0 faire le tri entre l&#8217;essentiel et l&#8217;inutile, le souhaitable et le dangereux, le factice et le r\u00e9el\u2026 Nous prenons bien souvent nos d\u00e9cisions rapidement, de fa\u00e7on instinctive ou selon la vision personnelle que nous nous faisons de l\u2019avenir. Or si le pr\u00e9sent nous d\u00e9passe d\u00e9j\u00e0, comment imaginer le futur ?<br \/>\nSi l&#8217;on ne peut pas pr\u00e9voir l&#8217;avenir, on peut n\u00e9anmoins d\u00e9passer l&#8217;approche instinctive pour travailler les repr\u00e9sentations que l&#8217;on s&#8217;en fait et pour rechercher un nouvel \u00e9quilibre entre l&#8217;homme et la nature. Qu&#8217;est-ce qui caract\u00e9rise la d\u00e9marche prospective ? Sur quels points de vue et comment s&#8217;\u00e9laborent les sc\u00e9narios du futur ? En quoi est-il essentiel d\u2019interroger les repr\u00e9sentations que les humains nourrissent sur l&#8217;avenir, y compris religieuses ou symboliques ? <\/p>\n<p>La mutation du syst\u00e8me technique li\u00e9 au num\u00e9rique et \u00e0 l&#8217;Internet nous a projet\u00e9s dans un changement de civilisation d&#8217;une ampleur comparable \u00e0 la r\u00e9volution industrielle. Cette r\u00e9volution cognitive questionne comme jamais les relations science, technique et soci\u00e9t\u00e9. Quels d\u00e9fis nos capacit\u00e9s intellectuelles  ont-elles \u00e0 relever face \u00e0 des machines qui vont d\u00e9sormais beaucoup plus vite que les neurones ? En quoi la puissance de ces transformations est-elle g\u00e9n\u00e9ratrice de nouvelles visions et d&#8217;un d\u00e9placement des valeurs ?<\/p>\n<p>Thierry Gaudin, polytechnicien, ing\u00e9nieur g\u00e9n\u00e9ral des Mines et docteur en sciences de l&#8217;Information et de la Communication, a publi\u00e9 de nombreux ouvrages sur la prospective et l&#8217;innovation. Il a fond\u00e9 et pilot\u00e9 le centre de Prospective et d&#8217;\u00c9valuation au minist\u00e8re de la Recherche durant 10 ans. Il a cr\u00e9\u00e9 l&#8217;association internationale Prospective 2100 pour alimenter, au niveau mondial, la r\u00e9flexion des d\u00e9cideurs confront\u00e9s \u00e0 la mutation de civilisation \u2014 entre \u00e8re industrielle et \u00e8re des technologies de l&#8217;information \u2014 et \u00e0 un d\u00e9s\u00e9quilibre \u00e9cologique plan\u00e9taire de plus en plus inqui\u00e9tant.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Thierry Gaudin, 19 septembre 2012<br \/>\nUniversit\u00e9 Blaise Pascal de Clermont-Ferrand<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"ngg_post_thumbnail":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[6,8,5],"tags":[48,250,261,269,291,410],"class_list":["post-2070","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-communications","category-education","category-prospective-generale","tag-avenir","tag-prospective","tag-revolution-cognitive","tag-scenarios","tag-systeme-technique","tag-gaudin-thierry"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/2100.org\/tv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2070","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/2100.org\/tv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/2100.org\/tv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/2100.org\/tv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/2100.org\/tv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2070"}],"version-history":[{"count":7,"href":"https:\/\/2100.org\/tv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2070\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3312,"href":"https:\/\/2100.org\/tv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2070\/revisions\/3312"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/2100.org\/tv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2070"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/2100.org\/tv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2070"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/2100.org\/tv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2070"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}